Theories
Thomas Malthus
- Believed finite optimum population size in relation to food supply (resources)
- Any increase in population beyond carrying capacity will lead to decline (positive checks)
- Positive and preventive checks are the two main ways to curb the population once the carrying capacity has been reached
- Preventive: abstinence, delay marriage – these would reduce the fertility rate
- Positive: lack of food, disease, war
- Optimum population exists related to resources and level of technology
Esther Boserup
- People have resources and technology ro increase food production; when the need arises, someone will find a solution
- Population growth has enabled agricultural development to occur
Emile Durkheim
- Division of labour would allow greater productivity
- Population pressure was necessary to increase division of labour
Limits to growth model
- neo-Malthusian model based on 5 factors:
- Population
- Agricultural production
- Natural resources
- Industrial production
- Pollution
- There is a very short period of time to take a corrective action as population growth is exponential
- [more points coming soon page 506]
Examples
Economic growth in Vietnam
- Vietnam has transitioned from one of the world’s poorest countries into a middle-income country
- In 1990, economic growth averaged 6% per year
Reasons why
- Proximity to China, giving a competitive advantage
- Wages in China have risen, so firms and TNCs have relocated to low-cost vietnam
- Vietnam as a young population: median age of 30 vs 36 in China
How
- Vietnamese government used a series of 5-year development plans to guide its development
- Invested in education: spent 6.3% of the GDP, 2% more than most LICs and MICs
- Vietnam is a member of the Trans-Pacific Partnerships (TPP), a 12-country trade including USA and Japan (USA only joined so that it can get the resources and benefits from LICs after providing job security)
Food, water, and energy security in South Asia
- South Asia faces the challenge of providing enough water to grow enough food for the growing population
- The Hindu Kush Himalayan (HKH) ecosystem is vital for the promotion of food, water, and energy security downstream
- Issues and challenges in food, water, energy sector are interrelated and must be managed together
- There is high degree of dependency of downstream communities on upstream ecosystem services such as water for irrigation, HEP, and drinking water
| Himalayan ecosystem services | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Provisioning | Regulating | Supporting | Cultural |
| Food, fodder, fuel Freshwater Mineral Raw materials Pollination Genetic resources | Climate regulation Water regulation Biological control Disturbance regulation Regulating precipitation, monsoon | Recharging groundwater Soil formation Erosion control Water retention Nutrient cycling, movement | Traditional knowledge practices of conservation Recreation agro-biodiversity |
[need to complete; can someone help in explaining?]
Improving food security in South Africa
- Climate change leads to impacts on maize prediction in South Africa
- 10% reduction in rainfall is likely to lead to a 4% reduction in maize yields, whereas an increase in rainfall is likely to cause an increase in maize yields
- Increased temperatures would lead to decrease in potato production, and farmers have taken measures to adapt to these changes
Adapts
- Diversification of crops
- Substitution of crops (rotations): so no fallow periods
- Greater use of shade crops such as rocket, beetroot, broccoli
- Changing from flood to sprinkler irrigation to save water: to save water; this has been the most favored adoption, was water is the main limiting factor for agriculture in South Africa
Nexus approach
| Impacts of climate change | Direct consequences |
|---|---|
| Impacts on crop productivity | Increase in temperature, changes in timing, amount, frequency of rainfall Crop production becoming marginal in dry areas Uncertainty on declines in sustainability |
| Impacts on food production | Yields potentially increase for rice and groundnuts Sugar cane likely to be the most resilient to climate change Barley: yield reductions of 20–50% predicted for warmer regions Sorghum likely to benefit warmer temperatures and higher atmospheric CO2 Certain soil types (vertisols, xerodold) are less productive and therefore affect crops negatives in climate change, while others (acrisols, arensols) have positive impact on corps and control adverse effects |
| Impacts on food quality | Rising min temperatures are a problem for the fruit industry (apple farming on apple farming in fruit quality) Also leads to reduced fruit quality though sunburn and heat stress Heatwaves leads to smaller fruit sizes |
| Impacts on livestock | Greater water required due to heat stress If climate change exacerbates water shortage in desert or arid zones, livestock farming will be affected |
Hazards of working in rubbish
- People in developing countries make a living collecting, sorting, recycling, and selling materials recovered from waste dumps
- 1% of global urban population earn a living from waste collection and recycling
- They tend to have low social status, face public scorn, harassment, and violence
- They are vulnerable to exploitation by middlemen who buy their recovered material
- In Colombia, India, Mexico, waste pickers can receive as little as 5 the price that industry pays for the recyclables, rest going to middlemen
Effects of low earnings
- Tend to live in deplorable conditions, leaking water and sanitation, other basic infrastructure
- Vulnerable to health and safety risks including exposure to dangerous waste, illness, and diseases
- Low life expectancy